After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile flat trail in Phoenix for the fourth race of the season.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are driving streaks of eight top-12 finishes dating back to last season, but both motorists will take a backseat to the current dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch at Phoenix.

Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest odds to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and won at the track last season. This weekend, when Harvick were to triumph, he’d join an elite team, becoming only the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or even more Cup Series races in one track; linking Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.

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In three of those previous four Phoenix races, Busch has led 359 laps, including 117 in his win throughout last season’s playoffs — the first under the new arrangement of this track.

Phoenix’s monitor is similar to Richmond and New Hampshire and it’s no surprise both Harvick and Busch have had similar success at these racks. Busch has won the previous two races in Richmond and the fall race in New Hampshire of 2017. Harvick won the most-recent race at New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the past six races in Richmond.

But unlike in these preceding races, all drivers will use a new automobile setup implemented by NASCAR, one different from what we watched the last fourteen days at Atlanta and Las Vegas. This season, teams may utilize a different-sized tapered spacer — and no aero ducts — for the first time. They’ll use a engine in Phoenix instead of their 550-horsepower engine at Vegas. NASCAR hopes to see a well-handling car using a quicker response time around the throttle. The bundle that is new could close the gap Harvick and Busch have had on the field.

So far in 2 races with NASCAR rules bundle, Ford has led 65 percent of their laps and has five consecutive period wins. Ford motorist Aric Almirola, Harvick’s teammate, will be a sleeper motorist to watch this weekend. He was third at New Hampshire’s similar layout final season, fifth at Richmond and fourth in last season’s fall race in Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and we like him .

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Curious to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at Phoenix

Odds provided by Westgate LV SuperBook

Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (all others) 500/1

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